Ever have the feeling we’re reliving history? The present historical moment¾
replete with the largest tax cuts in history, a dramatic rise in military
spending, a soaring federal budget deficit, and impending calls for slashing
social spending to restore fiscal order¾ is eerily
reminiscent of the Reagan years nearly a quarter of a century ago.
Paraphrasing Mr. Reagan’s famous repartee to President Carter in the 1980
presidential debates: Here we go again….
Tax cuts were the centerpiece of President Ronald Reagan’s domestic agenda.
Under Reagan’s leadership, the highest marginal individual income tax rate was
slashed nearly in half from 70 percent when he took office to 38 percent when he
left. Reagan’s famed supply-side economic theory promised that placing money in
the pockets of America’s wealthiest would stimulate the economy and create new
jobs. Tax cuts for the rich would fund an elevator to lift the poor from their
poverty. However, trickle-down economics didn’t work out quite as planned. The
elevator budget (along with spending on other social programs) was slashed,
leaving the elevator capable of traveling only in the "down" direction when poor
people were on board.
President George W. Bush inherited a weakening economy, which he promised to
turn around with a $1.35 trillion tax cut, larger than Reagan’s cuts, but
equally tipped to favor the richest Americans.
Three tax cuts later, a $5 trillion projected ten-year surplus has turned
into a projected ten-year deficit of $5 trillion and counting. One-third of this
dramatic change in fortune is attributable to the president’s tax cuts,
according to a recent joint report by the Committee on Economic Development, The
Concord Coalition, and The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.
The national debt is soaring at a rate not seen since, well, here we go
again…Ronald Reagan. When Reagan entered office, the national debt stood at $930
billion. When he left eight years later, the debt had nearly tripled to $2.6
trillion. During President Bush’s first two years in office, the national debt
has risen nearly 20 percent from $5.7 trillion to more than $6.8 trillion.
Poverty rates have risen in each of the two years since the first Bush tax cut,
leaving 12.1 percent of the nation’s citizens living beneath the poverty line,
according to a recent Census Bureau report.
As the federal budget deficit explodes, those in the Bush Administration who
not long ago championed a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution sit idly
by as the public grows increasingly anxious.
We should not be surprised if the next act in the Reagan sequel is for
President Bush next year to declare war on social programs. Since the early
1980s, inflation-adjusted spending on programs like affordable housing and
education has contracted, with many of these responsibilities being shifted to
the states. Sadly, we ain’t seen nothing yet.
But even the actor-president Reagan recognized the play didn’t need to end
that way. He added two elements to the budget plot: an increase in the top
income tax rate, and a radical purging of abusive corporate tax loopholes that
had left many of the country’s most profitable businesses paying nothing into
the federal treasury. Neither of these twists appears in the political scripts
President Bush is reading from.
"Here we go again" leads us to an emasculated government consigned to the
role of a watchtower state. It’s time to hum a different tune. Something like
"Happy Days Are Here Again," the post-Depression ditty that accompanied a time
of shared prosperity, when the United States moved from a watchtower state to
one where government spending on programs such as the GI Bill and federal
mortgage insurance created broad economic opportunities that allowed America to
move forward in hope. —S.Klinger